Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.009434 0.011265 0.013508 0.016510 0.020504 0.025763 0.033438
2025-03-16 0.007231 0.009384 0.012362 0.016965 0.024275 0.036212 0.059210
2025-03-23 0.005967 0.008152 0.011415 0.016978 0.027030 0.046541 0.095054
2025-03-30 0.005001 0.007067 0.010320 0.016257 0.028068 0.054402 0.136866
2025-04-06 0.004369 0.006348 0.009603 0.015905 0.029576 0.064399 0.204334
2025-04-13 0.003999 0.005971 0.009358 0.016325 0.032899 0.082072 0.356535
2025-04-20 0.003783 0.005808 0.009441 0.017411 0.038415 0.113282 0.788781
2025-04-27 0.003555 0.005582 0.009357 0.018105 0.043387 0.151247 1.942875
2025-05-04 0.003290 0.005253 0.009008 0.018085 0.046294 0.186658 4.928589
2025-05-11 0.003062 0.004961 0.008687 0.018041 0.049188 0.230534 18.193473
2025-05-18 0.002829 0.004635 0.008241 0.017562 0.050310 0.267645 102.028384
2025-05-25 0.002593 0.004279 0.007685 0.016658 0.049346 0.287451 1200.289880
2025-06-01 0.002399 0.004006 0.007317 0.016325 0.051264 0.353400 NaN
2025-06-08 0.002277 0.003862 0.007220 0.016778 0.057366 0.520121 NaN
2025-06-15 0.002141 0.003676 0.006998 0.016790 0.061574 0.720806 NaN
2025-06-22 0.001981 0.003424 0.006583 0.016080 0.061408 0.846191 NaN
2025-06-29 0.001858 0.003238 0.006300 0.015734 0.063234 1.090528 NaN
2025-07-06 0.001786 0.003151 0.006246 0.016148 0.070484 1.847570 NaN
2025-07-13 0.001749 0.003134 0.006363 0.017217 0.084264 4.644229 NaN
2025-07-20 0.001697 0.003078 0.006371 0.017901 0.096823 13.325752 NaN
2025-07-27 0.001621 0.002964 0.006211 0.017881 0.103446 34.508341 NaN
2025-08-03 0.001551 0.002857 0.006056 0.017837 0.110212 138.317475 NaN
2025-08-10 0.001472 0.002724 0.005813 0.017366 0.111818 567.693984 NaN